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Deep Dive: Lithuania’s Hydrogen Ecosystem – Strategically Positioned for Exports and with Strong Political Support


At the heart of Lithuania’s hydrogen ambitions is the Lithuanian National Energy Independence Strategy, adopted in June 2024, foreseeing hydrogen sector as a cornerstone of renewables driven and export orientated energy system. 

It is strongly underpinned by existing industrial consumers and dynamically developing renewables generation capacities, dominated by onshore wind and solar projects, the generated electricity from which already in few years will surpass local needs. The dominance of renewables in electricity mix, will provide competitive edge for production of renewable hydrogen and its derivatives in Lithuania, with soon surpassing 90% threshold set in EU rules on renewable fuels of non-biological origin certification. That will allow for much more favourable and less rigid requirements for sourcing of electricity from the market.  

All policy and regulatory frameworks are clearly being prepared to support that vision. The Government of Lithuania’s last year have adopted first Hydrogen Development Guidelines (2024–2050). These strategically outline the development of green hydrogen production volumes and building up of 2-3 hydrogen valleys” – regional ecosystems integrating production, industry, transport, and energy applications. 

Meanwhile, Amber Grid – Lithuania’s gas transmission operator – puts at the forefront of its strategy plans to develop national hydrogen network with cross-border interconnections, centred around Nordic-Baltic Hydrogen Corridor.  Hydrogen network will unlock large-scale production of renewable hydrogen and exports to other EU countries. 

While cooperation of all stakeholders is facilitated by Lithuanian Hydrogen Platform, launched in November 2020. This platform unites the Ministry of Energy, the Ministry of Transport and Communications, and key energy players – such as Ignitis group, EPSO‑G, Amber Grid, ORLEN Lietuva, along with industrial and research associations – with the aim of coordinating policy formulation, legal frameworks, research, and financing for hydrogen initiatives. Its objectives span drafting national strategies, lobbying for regulatory progression, and promoting joint innovation and investment in hydrogen technologies.

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Lithuania’s “Guidelines for the Development of Hydrogen in Lithuania 2024–2050” serve as its first formal, comprehensive legislative document governing the hydrogen sector. Approved in 2024, these Guidelines define strategic directions across multiple domains and details out National Energy Independence Strategy:

  • Production Targets:
    By 2030, aim to install 1.3 GW of electrolyser capacity to produce 129,000 t/year of renewable hydrogen.
    By 2050, ramp up to 8.5 GW and 732,000 t/year.
    A strong role is foreseen for hydrogen production as the source for electricity system, that shall be driven by intermittent renewables (onshore and offshore wind and solar).
  • End-Use Applications:
    Priority sectors include use as feedstock (fertilisers, refining), fuel (heavy-duty transport), synthetic fuels production, and exports to other EU countries.
    E-fuels production should be supported by available biogenic CO2 sources – coming from biomethane, biofuels production and biomass burning facilities in district heating sector. 
  • Transmission & Storage:
    Emphasises development of hydrogen pipelines (notably Nordic Baltic Hydrogen Corridor stretching in Finland–Germany route through Lithuania), and investigating storage options (nationally and in adjacent countries).
  • Hydrogen Valleys:
    Defines the creation of two key hydrogen valleys:
    Northwestern Valley leveraging offshore wind and e-fuels production.
    Central Valley , using a robust transmission grid and major offtake and production points.
  • Refuelling stations:
    Hydrogen refuelling stations should be developed along TEN-T corridors and in main urban nodes. The goal is set to have 10 refuelling stations available for the market already in 2030.
  • Cross-Cutting Measures:
    Includes development of legal frameworks for production, transport, storage, safety standards, pilot electricity-to-gas systems, , research funding, and public outreach.

In parallel, Lithuania has begun transposing EU-wide clean energy legislation, with RED III targets adopted into national law in June 2025. These efforts include enforcing mandates such as at least 42% renewable hydrogen in industrial use by 2030, and 60% by 2035, among other decarbonization targets, The drafting of legislation needed to implement Hydrogen and Decarbonised Gas Market Package is ongoing as well, with planned adoption of Hydrogen law and other relevant legal acts in 2026. 

Lithuania’s energy system development and related policy measures and regulatory framework are very much focused on building local renewables base to be used both for national needs and exports, and being tuned for hydrogen sector needs:

  • Growing renewables generation capacities
    Just in year from end of 2nd quarter of 2024 to mid of 2025, the installed capacity of wind and solar generation increased by one-third rising from 2.9 GW to 4.3 GW covering of 64% of all consumption needs in Q2 of 2025. With total existing generation capacities and capacity rights granted from grid operators there’s potential to reach of 13 GW of wind and solar subject to cover growing demand needs – green hydrogen production being a key perspective off-taker. 
  • Share of renewables in energy mix:
    With many projects in development, and with a push from policy measures, the share of renewables should grow steeply, with the goal set in Renewables act to exceed 100% of national demand in 2030. 
  • Flexibility needs:
    With high share of renewables, Lithuania and other Baltic States that recently synchronized with Continental Europe grids, have high needs for flexibility and balancing providers. Large-scale electrolyzers’ plants connected to hydrogen network are seen as the major source of within-day flexibility, providing system wide benefits for electricity grid and the market
  • Dynamic grid tariffication:
    To be attractive as well as to incentivize flexible electricity consumers, national electricity TSO Litgrid together with National Regulatory Authority VERT are drafting dynamic electricity grid tariffs proposal, which should be brought up for public eyes in late 2025 or 2026. This should steer the offtake of electricity in the times of high supply from renewables, and support green hydrogen production business cases. 

A recent market survey conducted in spring 2025 by national gas TSO Amber Grid revealed huge potential for the hydrogen production and the clear interest for exporting of renewable hydrogen: 

  • 23 hydrogen projects are under different development phases with planned electrolysis capacities of 3.4 GW in early 2030s and reaching 5.9 GW in 2040. Some of the planned projects are off grid, some have goals to be connected to developed hydrogen grid. 
  • The total amounts that could be injected into hydrogen network from production units from the onset of Nordic-Baltic Hydrogen Corridor (expected in early 2030s) could be at 4.5 TWh, while with extension of hydrogen network with branches westwards and growing production capacities, in 2040 potential amounts to be injected would reach 15.6 TWh.
  • The surveyed consumption volumes from the grid are much lower – 0.3 TWh in 2033 growing to 2.3 TWh in 2040, leaving most of the hydrogen injected destined for the exports – 5.9 TWh in 2033 and reaching 13.3 TWh in 2040.

From the early movers the most advanced is Klaipėda Port project where over 2.25 MW electrolyser is set for 2026, producing and distributing over 500 kg/day of green hydrogen to fuel vessels and road transport; a nod toward leveraging smart port infrastructure and clean transport readiness.

Similarly, in Vilnius, district heating company Miesto gijos is building 3 MW electrolyser facility with storage and refuelling facilities to be available in late 2026, co-funded by the city and EU; the project will supply public basis that will be used in Vilnius, and private vehicles and integrate waste heat into the city’s centralized heating network.

Also, Orlen Lietuva refinery in Mazeikiai is implementing 20 MW electrolyzer project with the goal to use renewable hydrogen in its operations and contribute to implementing REDIII requirements.

All three projects under implementation benefits from the EU co-financing instruments allocated from national package of Lithuania. 

Looking across sectors, Ignitis Group, the state-owned energy conglomerate, is well-positioned to drive hydrogen integration across energy distribution and generation platforms. In tandem, Amber Grid remains determined – despite short-term market caution – on Lithuania’s hydrogen potential. Speaking to The Voice of Renewables, its head, Nemunas Biknius, emphasises: “Lithuanian market participants are realistic… the long‑term perspective until 2050 remains clear and unshakeable… If we rapidly develop our infrastructure and optimise the regulatory environment… we can secure regional leadership… become an important European green hydrogen export hub.”

Lithuania is leveraging several instruments to support early movers and development of few parts of hydrogen value chain. It resulted in kick-started projects, that will pave the way for growing industry and will steepen the learning curve for various stakeholders.

Lithuania is also using European Hydrogen Bank’s “Auctions‑as‑a‑Service” scheme, in 2024 has committed roughly €36 million from the Modernisation Fund to support projects in its territory, aiming toward national targets of 1.3 GW electrolysis and 129 kt of renewable hydrogen by 2030. 

The Government is also foreseeing to additionally support the renewable hydrogen and e-fuels projects in coming years. Concrete measures are yet to be drafted.

Amber Grid’s 10-Year Network Development Plan (2024–2033) now prominently includes hydrogen transport infrastructure. Crucially, this includes pipeline routes linking domestic producers and consumers, plus international corridors like the Nordic–Baltic Hydrogen Corridor. Furthermore, Amber Grid and Litgrid explicitly state that hydrogen planning and electricity grid development planning are coordinated, ensuring alignment between gas and electricity system upgrades and new developments.

Together,  policy measures, the plans of infrastructure developments and industry initiatives lay a robust foundation for Lithuania’s hydrogen and P2X ecosystem:

  • Targets: 1.3 GW of electrolysis capacity and 129 kt hydrogen production by 2030; long-term expansion to 8.5 GW and 732 kt by 2050.
  • Renewable electricity abundance: High saturation of renewable electricity in energy mix to be reached in coming years and close to 100% by 2030, and plenty of solar and wind capacities are developed to be available for powering hydrogen projects.
  • Infrastructure development: Amber Grid has clearly set hydrogen network development, and foremost Nordic-Baltic Hydrogen Corridor, as its key strategic endevours, a well managed coordination with other TSOs in the region, as well electricity network operator Litgrid is ongoing. 
  • Industry rollout: Number of project promoters developing hydrogen projects is growing with clear direction to establish solid foundation for export oriented and diverse hydrogen and PtX industry.  
  • Funding leverage: EU auctions and national funds combined to accelerate deployment.
  • Strategic integration: Hydrogen feeding into industry (fertiliser, refining), energy systems (grid balancing), and mobility (public transport, maritime, freight).

To bolster this momentum, Lithuania  is working on investment attractive regulatory frameworks (market regulation, licensing, tariffs), deepening private-sector engagement, and ensuring alignment of hydrogen targets with broader renewable energy growth, especially electricity generation.

In sum, Lithuania is emerging as a practical hydrogen innovator – transforming strategic ambition into coordinated infrastructure, clear policy direction, and tangible investment pipelines. The country is positioning itself not just as a domestic adopter, but as a regional leader and export hub in Europe’s hydrogen economy.